USA Today and Baseball Prospectus say the Cubs will be N.L. Central champions again

The PECOTA projections and a newspaper’s predictions.

It’s the time of year when people begin putting together predictions for the upcoming baseball season. As is my tradition, I’ll post mine the day before Opening Day.

USA Today is one of the first national publications to come out with theirs, and here they are:

Trouble viewing on mobile? A snip of the projected records:

— USA TODAY MLB (@usatodaymlb) February 6, 2018

Here’s how USA Today determines these standings:

Our win totals – comprised of season simulations provided by six writers and editors – correctly forecast all six division winners last year. It’s not because we’re brilliant – reader comments and email indisputably put that notion to rest – but simply because at a time when so few teams are trying to win, the chance that a “surprise team” messes up the calculus is greatly diminished.

So, they’ve got the Cubs not only winning the division, but with the same record as they had in 2017. They’ve also got the Brewers again finishing six games behind, and with those records Milwaukee would host the wild-card game. Before that, though, there would be a tiebreaker game between …Read the Rest

Source:: Bleed Cubbie Blue

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