Quantifying Hope: Cubs’ Playoff Odds Rise to 93 Percent

Hey, did you know that the Cubs were in first place in the NL Central and that they’ve made up seven games on the Brewers in just 13 second-half games? You did? Good, then you’re probably not surprised to see that Joe Maddon’s team has increased their playoff odds by a fair bit over the last two-and-a-half weeks.

On July 10, the first day of the All-Star Break, the Cubs’ playoff odds stood at season-low 62.8 percent. Funny what an 11-2 run will do for your outlook.

“We expect to remain in first place throughout the remainder of the way,” Jake Arrieta said after his Wednesday start on the South Side. “We know it’s gonna be a tough task, but that’s kinda what you deal with at the highest level of sports.”

The projections systems agree, with FanGraphs giving the Cubs a 92.8 percent chance to make the playoffs with approximately a 90-72 record. That would see them eight games ahead of the Cardinals and 10 ahead of the Brewers and Cardinals.

This weekend’s series will go a long way toward determining the division, as the Cubs have an opportunity to put some real distance between themselves and their opponents from …Read the Rest

Source:: Cubs Insider

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