The Cubs have agreed to a three year, $38 million contract with right-handed starter Tyler Chatwood. This is far from a big splash and it’s at a significantly higher AAV ($12.67) than what had been projected, but the for Rockies pitcher is a serious bounceback candidate now that he’s away from Coors Field.
On the surface, the soon-to-be 28-year-old’s (12/16) numbers don’t inspire a lot of confidence. His 7.31 K/9 was meh and his 4.69 BB/9 tally was anything but nice. Then you’ve got the equally not-nice 4.69 ERA that might have actually been the product of good luck, as evidenced by a 4.94 FIP. So what’s with this whole bounceback business?
Well, MLB.com’s Mike Petriello pointed out “5 reasons Chatwood could be this winter’s breakout FA” back in November. The newest Cub is a ground ball guy, generates serious spin rates, saw an increase in velocity last season, and should get a bump from getting out of Denver. The fifth reason is less about quantifiable data and more about proper optics.
The solution there is simply to set expectations properly. If a team signs Chatwood and he offers 16-18 strong outs before leaving, that should be …Read the Rest
Source:: Cubs Insider