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Cub Tracks opens the door

Javy’s mean, Free Agent green, trade the team, and other bullets

So…the reason for the eye-test argument, last episode. Let’s make a long story short, and keep things reasonably simple…let’s consider the case of Javier Baez. Is he at a new level, or was 2018 an overachiever moment?

Progress isn’t linear, right? Javy’s bbref page tells us that he earned more than half of his lifetime WAR in 2018 (6.3; 11.9), and further that he has ascended a pretty smooth curve, with such individual stats as HR (14, 23, 34) and such suspect data as RBI (59, 75, 111) making steady progress the last three years. In 2018 he had another 150 or so at-bats, but his SLG and OPS both followed the same gradient.

That data would tell you that he looks to have found a new mean and may have room for additional improvement.

His OBP, however, has remained just about static over the last two years. The eye test would tend to see the many swing-and-misses Javy generates as evidence of a contact problem, and a possible path toward regression. There’s no denying his effectiveness on base or in the field…however, his at-bats still betray a tendency to overswing, …Read the Rest

Source:: Bleed Cubbie Blue

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