Brendan Miller’s 10 Very Specific Cubs Predictions for 2017

1. Addison Russell hits 25+ homers, finishes with a +.350 wOBA, and produces more than 5.5 WAR.

I’m concerned about your mental status if you aren’t excited about Addison Russell. The young Cubs shortstop improved his contact rate in the second half of 2016, all while continuing to mash 21 homers. Sustained contact and power is a reality that sets up an MVP-caliber year.

2. Albert Almora produces more runs than an average centerfielder, cements himself as Cubs staple.

Almora looks more stout this spring and his homers are proof that a more balanced swing is bearing fruit. Even a slight power improvement to league average levels makes the future Cubs starting centerfielder a > 96 wRC+ hitter.

3. Willson Contreras leads MLB catchers in wOBA.

Steamer projects only four catchers with better wOBA mark than Contreras: Buster Posey (.357), Gary Sanchez (.348), Jonathan Lucroy (.340), and Yasmani Grandal (.339). While Steamer projects a .332 wOBA for the Cubs’ starting backstop, the model forecasts only 13 homers in 432 PA. Too low a projection, I think, because he hit 12 homers in 283 PA last year.

4. Kyle Hendricks goes vintage Zack Greinke on us by adding another major tweak to …Read the Rest

Source:: Cubs Insider

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